SportsLine warns against Dallas in Week 1 survivor pools
SportsLine’s model gives the New York Giants a 47 per cent simulation win rate against Dallas, despite the Cowboys being three-point favourites.
SportsLine is advising NFL Week 1 survivor-pool players to avoid selecting the Dallas Cowboys against the New York Giants, projecting a close game rather than a reliable Dallas win.
According to the analysis published by CBS Sports, the Cowboys are listed as three-point favourites and -160 money-line favourites. SportsLine’s model gives New York a 47 per cent win rate across its simulations and projects the game to be decided by one point.
The Giants finished 4-13 last season and have appointed former Baltimore Ravens coach John Harbaugh. Quarterback Jaxson Dart recorded 2,272 passing yards, 15 touchdowns and five interceptions in 14 games last season.
Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott is entering his 11th season after throwing for 4,552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions last season. SportsLine also points to the Cowboys losing four of their final five games in 2025 and going 2-4 in their past six Week 1 games.
Malik Nabers’ availability for the Giants is not confirmed. SportsLine says it is backing an alternative team to win outright in more than 80 per cent of simulations, but the supplied material does not identify that team or independently verify the model’s methodology. The advice is a survivor-pool strategy, not a guarantee of the match result.
