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SportsLine model projects Eagles win as NFL Week 1 approaches

SportsLine has released projected scores for every 2026 Week 1 game after simulating each matchup 10,000 times.

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Adrian Cole
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Source: CBS Sports · View original source
Two Philadelphia Eagles players in white uniforms exchange the football during a game
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SportsLine has released modelled score projections for the opening round of the 2026 NFL season, based on 10,000 simulations of every Week 1 game.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to defeat the Washington Commanders 27–18 at home. Philadelphia is listed as a 5.5-point favourite, with the projection reflecting the Eagles’ recent record in the series and Washington’s broader run of results.

The source says Philadelphia has won seven of its past 10 meetings with Washington. The Commanders have lost eight of their past 10 games overall, while the Eagles have won three of their past five.

The model also projects individual performances, including 213 passing yards and 1.79 touchdowns for Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts, alongside nearly 100 rushing yards and one touchdown for Saquon Barkley. These figures are estimates, not match results.

In another prominent Week 1 fixture, the Los Angeles Rams are listed as 3.5-point favourites against the San Francisco 49ers in Melbourne on 10 September. SportsLine’s source material also refers to projected outcomes for Patriots–Seahawks, Bills–Texans and Cowboys–Giants, but does not provide their exact scores.

The projections remain pre-match estimates. The source does not independently verify SportsLine’s simulation methodology or its claims about historical betting performance.

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