DraftKings sets 2026 NFL win totals as schedule pressure reshapes projections

Fox Sports has published DraftKings Sportsbook’s 2026 NFL win totals and Over/Under odds, offering an early market assessment of the league’s teams as the season begins. The figures were listed as at 9 September and represent betting projections rather than confirmed outcomes.

The selected markets range from 3.5 wins for the Arizona Cardinals to 11.5 for the Baltimore Ravens. Buffalo is listed at 10.5 wins, Chicago at 9.5, while Atlanta and Carolina are each set at 7.5.

Arizona won three games in 2025 and lost its final nine, while Fox Sports points to a difficult schedule and defensive concerns behind the low total. Atlanta won eight games and finished with four straight wins, but enters the season under new coach Kevin Stefanski, with Tua Tagovailoa slated to start at quarterback in Week 1.

Baltimore’s total reflects a sharp gap between its 2025 record and the market’s expectation. The Ravens won eight games last season, with Lamar Jackson missing four matches and playing through other injuries. The club has since appointed Jesse Minter after parting ways with John Harbaugh and signed Trey Hendrickson, according to Fox Sports.

Buffalo has exceeded a 10.5-win total in each of the past six seasons, but will have a new head coach after Joe Brady was promoted following Sean McDermott’s departure. The Bills have also traded for DJ Moore and signed Bradley Chubb.

Carolina reached the playoffs for the first time since 2017 after winning the NFC South with eight victories, while Chicago won 11 games and the NFC North in Ben Johnson’s first season. Fox Sports says Carolina’s defensive additions have supported its projection, while Chicago’s total has been reduced by the league’s toughest schedule, key defensive departures and Drew Dalman’s retirement.

The Los Angeles Rams’ total has risen after the acquisition of Myles Garrett and the return of the franchise’s leading sack-getter. Fox Sports also notes that New England, Seattle and Denver each led the league with 14 wins in 2025, but DraftKings is not pricing the season as a straightforward repeat.