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SportsLine projects NFL Week 3 games through 10,000 simulations

CBS Sports published spread-cover probabilities and selected score forecasts for the remaining 15 Week 3 games. The projections are betting forecasts, not results.

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Adrian Cole
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Source: CBS Sports · View original source
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SPORT | NFL

CBS Sports has published SportsLine Projection Model picks for the remaining 15 NFL Week 3 games. The model simulated each matchup 10,000 times to estimate spread-cover probabilities and produce selected score predictions.

Among its spread projections, SportsLine gives the Lions a 66 per cent chance to cover as 6.5-point favourites and the Seahawks a 64 per cent chance as 7-point favourites. It assigns the Bills a 55 per cent chance to cover as 7-point favourites.

The model’s selected score forecasts include Bengals 23, Steelers 20; Seahawks 32, Commanders 17; Jaguars 25, Patriots 20; and Vikings 24, Buccaneers 22.

For Rams–Broncos, CBS Sports lists the Rams as 2.5-point road favourites, while the model projection says the Broncos have a 54 per cent chance to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. The package does not resolve the inconsistency in that line and attribution.

The figures are model estimates for betting purposes. They do not represent game results, and the supplied article does not include score predictions for every matchup.

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