SportsLine model favours Detroit Tigers in three-leg MLB parlay for July 23
The SportsLine Projection Model has released its betting recommendations for Thursday’s abbreviated MLB schedule, highlighting a three-way parlay with a potential payout of nearly +500.
SportsLine’s computer model has released its betting predictions for Major League Baseball action on Thursday, July 23, recommending a three-way parlay with a potential return of nearly +500. The model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, entered Week 18 of the season with a 35-21 record on its top-rated picks and claims to have generated nearly 30 units of profit on home run prop selections in 2025.
The core of the model’s recommendation features the Detroit Tigers as home favourites against the Kansas City Royals. Detroit has demonstrated recent dominance in the series, winning four of six games this season and 16 of the past 22 meetings. The model points to a significant pitching advantage for the Tigers, with right-hander Troy Melton set to start. Melton has begun the season 5-1 with a 1.80 ERA, allowing 33 hits and 11 earned runs in 55 innings while striking out 50 batters.
Kansas City counters with right-hander Randy Dobnak, who holds a 0-0 record and a 1.93 ERA across three games, including one start. Dobnak has logged 14 innings, walking eight batters and striking out seven. The Tigers are listed at -207 to win the matchup, which is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET.
In addition to the Tigers, the model identifies underdog value in two other matchups. The Toronto Blue Jays are listed as -111 favourites against the Tampa Bay Rays, with Shane Bieber (1-1, 5.70 ERA) pitching for Toronto and Ian Seymour (6-2, 4.79 ERA) for the Rays. The model also backs the Arizona Diamondbacks against the St Louis Cardinals, who are favoured at -124.
The abbreviated five-game schedule includes a key American League East contest between the Rays and Blue Jays at 3:07 p.m. ET. The SportsLine Projection Model has locked in these three selections as its best bets for the day, with the full parlay available exclusively through the SportsLine platform. The source of this analysis is CBS Sports, which is reporting on content originally published by the third-party betting analytics platform.
