SportsLine expert Matt Snyder releases home run prop picks for Tuesday's MLB slate
Snyder cites recent batting averages and historical matchups to recommend specific player props ahead of the 15-game Tuesday schedule
SportsLine expert Matt Snyder has released his home run prop betting selections for Major League Baseball games scheduled for Tuesday, May 5. The recommendations focus on specific player outcomes against designated pitchers, with a primary emphasis on Bryce Harper of the Phillies facing Luis Severino of the A's. Snyder, identified as CBS Sports' longest-tenured baseball expert, utilises analytics and historical data to structure these institutional betting suggestions.
The core recommendation involves wagering on Harper to hit a home run against Severino at odds of +352. Snyder's rationale relies on Harper's current form, noting a .313 batting average and a .531 slugging percentage over his last nine games. The analyst also points to a historical record where Harper has hit two home runs against Severino in six career appearances, suggesting a pattern of success in this specific matchup.
Additional options for the Tuesday slate include Peter Lambert, who is pitching for the Astros against the Dodgers. Snyder notes that Lambert has not surrendered a home run this season, despite a career total of 45 home runs allowed in 243 2/3 innings. The expert suggests Lambert might be vulnerable on Tuesday, specifically noting that left-handed batters have historically performed well against him with a slash line of .305/.384/.527.
A further suggestion involves a player named Tucker, who is highlighted in the context of the Dodgers matchup. Snyder indicates that Tucker is comfortable in Houston and cites a home run hit by the player on Monday evening as part of the reasoning for the pick. The specific identity of Tucker beyond the Dodgers context is not explicitly detailed in the source material provided.
The broader context of the Washington Nationals' performance at home is also referenced, with a record of 4-12 at Nationals Park attributed partly to the strength of previous opponents such as the Dodgers, Braves, and Brewers. While this statistical background is present in the source package, the primary focus of Snyder's Tuesday picks remains on the individual player props rather than team-wide strategic analysis.
Snyder's approach combines simple logic learned from his baseball-playing days with extensive background analytics, resulting in a record of 307 wins to 272 losses on MLB picks over the past four seasons. The release of these picks comes ahead of a 15-game schedule on Tuesday, offering various options for those interested in wagering on home run player props.
