SportsLine analyst targets three MLB batters for home run props on Monday
The data analyst recommends Justin Foscue, Alec Burleson, and Bryce Harper for Monday’s slate, citing strong historical performance metrics against opposing left- and right-handed pitchers.
SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner has released his recommended Major League Baseball home run player props for Monday, August 10, identifying statistical edges in three specific matchups. The analysis focuses on platoon advantages and recent pitcher struggles, targeting Justin Foscue, Alec Burleson, and Bryce Harper for potential home run outcomes across a 10-game slate.
Fetner’s selections are grounded in performance data that distinguishes how each batter performs against left-handed versus right-handed pitching. For Foscue, the analyst points to a significant disparity in production based on pitcher handedness. Foscue holds a .295 batting average and a .965 on-base plus slugging (OPS) against left-handed pitchers, with five of his seven season home runs coming off left-handed arms. In contrast, his OPS against right-handed pitching sits at .560, making the matchup against left-hander Reid Detmers the preferred option.
The recommendation for Alec Burleson centres on his dominance against right-handed pitching and the recent difficulties faced by opposing pitcher Andrew Painter. Burleson is hitting .326 with a .969 OPS against right-handed pitchers, having hit 16 of his 19 home runs off them. Painter has allowed nine of his 15 season home runs to left-handed batters and has struggled in recent starts, conceding nine earned runs in 12 innings over his last three outings. Fetner assigned a home run index of 10 out of 10 for this matchup.
Bryce Harper rounds out the selections, with the analyst noting his strong track record against right-handed pitching. Harper has recorded 21 of his 25 season home runs off right-handed arms and is currently hitting .288 with a 1.005 OPS against them. Although opposing pitcher Hunter Dobbins has posted a 2.60 ERA over his last three starts, Fetner maintains the matchup is favourable, also assigning a home run index of 10 out of 10. Harper hit a home run on Saturday, adding to his recent form.
Fetner’s historical performance provides context for these recommendations, with his MLB home run picks gaining 50 units on betting sites last year. Recent successful predictions include picks on Luis Garcia Jr., Casey Schmitt, and Alec Bohm. For Monday’s selections, Fetner highlights a parlay option that could yield returns of over 220-1. The analysis is published alongside promotional offers from platforms including DraftKings, Kalshi, Hard Rock Bet, and FanDuel.
