Poll projects Le Pen ahead in France’s 2027 presidential race
A Toluna-Harris survey for RTL and M6 puts the National Rally at 35–36 per cent in the first round, while showing Marine Le Pen ahead in hypothetical run-offs.
Marine Le Pen’s National Rally (RN) is projected to win 35–36 per cent in the first round of France’s presidential election on 18 April 2027, according to a Toluna-Harris poll for radio station RTL and television channel M6.
The projection is up from 33 per cent in a poll published on 14 September. The survey also puts Le Pen ahead of Édouard Philippe and Jean-Luc Mélenchon in hypothetical second-round contests.
Philippe is projected at 13–16 per cent in the first round, a result that would leave him short of reaching the run-off. The supplied figures do not give exact second-round vote shares.
The poll’s projections are not election results, and the eventual candidates remain uncertain. The source material does not provide the survey’s sample size, field dates or margin of error.
RN became the largest party in the National Assembly after the 2024 snap election, but did not secure a majority.
