MLB analysts identify top home run props for Sunday's 15-game slate
Analysts recommend three players to hit home runs on Sunday, May 3, citing statistical advantages and shaky pitching matchups across the league.
SportsLine analysts have released a set of free home run predictions for the Major League Baseball schedule on Sunday, May 3. The recommendations focus on three specific players identified as having strong opportunities against opposing pitchers. The selections include Vinnie Pasquantino, who is expected to face Mariners pitcher Luis Castillo; Shota Murakami, set to pitch against right-hander Griffin Canning; and Josh Greene, who will face Rangers starter Jack Leiter.
The analysis highlights that the day features a 15-game schedule with several pitchers considered shaky, creating opportunities for home run props. SportsLine notes that these selections are based on upcoming matchups and statistical justifications provided in their projection model. The article suggests that these players could add to their home run totals given the current state of the opposing starts.
Regarding Shota Murakami, the data indicates he leads the MLB with 13 home runs and holds a .937 OPS. He is set to face Griffin Canning, who is making his first start of the 2026 season following surgery to repair a torn Achilles. While Canning has improved his home run allowance per nine innings since 2025, his absence from the game in 2026 suggests he may be rusty. Murakami has hit nine home runs in his past 16 games, leading analysts to believe he can exploit any errors made by the Japanese newcomer's opponent.
Vinnie Pasquantino is recommended despite hitting only four home runs in the current season so far, as he leads the Kansas City roster with 16 RBI. He is scheduled to face Luis Castillo, who has a 6.35 ERA and has allowed nine runs and three home runs over his past two starts. Pasquantino hit 32 home runs and 33 doubles last season, and all four of his current home runs have come against right-handers. Analysts suggest he is due for a big game against Castillo, who throws right-handed.
Josh Greene is identified as a top candidate after hitting 36 home runs last season and recording a career-high .860 OPS. He faces Rangers starter Jack Leiter, who has allowed six home runs in his current outing after allowing 18 last season. Greene is hitting .298 overall with a 50% hard-hit rate, and three of his four home runs this season have come against right-handers. The analysis concludes that Greene is mostly locked in and needs only one swing to send the ball out of the yard against Leiter.
Various sportsbooks, including BetMGM, FanDuel, DraftKings, and Caesars, are offering promotions for placing these bets. The source material directs readers to use specific bonus codes for each platform to access the latest odds and player prop wagers for Sunday's games.
