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CBS Sports experts predict Scheffler favourite as Woods and Mickelson miss 2026 Open

Scottie Scheffler leads the odds board ahead of Rory McIlroy, while Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson are confirmed to miss all four majors this season.

Author
Adrian Cole
Political Correspondent
Published
Draft
Source: CBS Sports · original

                        2026 Open Championship picks, odds: Expert predictions, favorites to win from field at Royal Birkdale
Analysis of betting odds and expert picks for the final major at Royal Birkdale

CBS Sports experts have released their predictions and betting odds for the 2026 Open Championship, which is set to take place at Royal Birkdale in Southport, England. The tournament marks the final major of the 2026 season, with a 156-man field expected to compete on a course described as a particularly difficult test.

Scottie Scheffler is identified as the overall favourite for the title, despite reports that he is not currently playing at his highest standard. Rory McIlroy sits second on the odds board, a position bolstered by his strong performance at the Scottish Open, where he recorded three tremendous rounds before a rocky Saturday prevented him from winning.

The field will feature notable absences, with Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson confirmed to miss all four major championships in the 2026 season. Their absence leaves a significant void in the lineup, with experts noting they face starkly different personal circumstances.

Among the expert picks for the winner, Matt Fitzpatrick is selected at 18-1 odds. Analysts highlight his top form, citing his leadership in strokes gained approach and around the green. Sam Burns is also picked to win at 50-1, with experts pointing to his consistency since The Players Championship and his previous top-10 finishes in majors.

Sleeper picks include Shane Lowry at 66-1 and Johnny Keefer at 175-1. Lowry is noted for a resurgence in his iron play and fairway accuracy, while Keefer is recognised for his recent contention at the Scottish Open and comfort under pressure.

Concerns were raised regarding Bryson DeChambeau, with one expert describing the scenario of him missing the cut at all four majors in 2026 as "shocking" but "firmly in play." This potential outcome is attributed to concerns about his mental game and confidence on the course.

English golfers are expected to benefit from strong local support, with Justin Rose and Tommy Fleetwood also in the field. However, experts suggest that the pressure of playing at home could impact Fleetwood, while Fitzpatrick remains the primary candidate for a home victory.

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