
SportsLine projects Alabama win but backs Florida State to cover
The model forecasts a 33-20 Alabama victory in Week 3 while giving Florida State a 66 per cent chance of covering the 19.5-point spread.
Event
A SportsLine model projects Alabama will defeat Florida State 33-20 in their 2026 college football Week 3 game at Bryant-Denny Stadium. It backs Florida State to cover the 19.5-point spread, with the over 49.5 points projected to land 53% of the time.
2 published stories · college-football · source reliability 33%

The model forecasts a 33-20 Alabama victory in Week 3 while giving Florida State a 66 per cent chance of covering the 19.5-point spread.
Background
SportsLine projects Alabama to defeat Florida State 33–20 in their 2026 Week 3 game at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Alabama is listed as a 19.5-point favourite, while the model backs Florida State to cover. The over/under is 49.5 points, with the over occurring in 53% of simulations, according to the article. The projection is based on 10,000 simulations of every FBS game.
SportsLine projects Alabama to defeat Florida State 33–20 in their 2026 Week 3 game at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Alabama is listed as a 19.5-point favourite, while the model backs Florida State to cover. The over/under is 49.5 points, with the over occurring in 53% of simulations, ac
Fact cards
Key entities: SportsLine, Alabama Crimson Tide, Florida State Seminoles, Bryant-Denny Stadium, Notre Dame, South Carolina, LSU.
What is SportsLine’s projected score? Alabama 33, Florida State 20. Who is favoured? Alabama, by 19.5 points. What is the model’s spread recommendation? Florida State to cover the 19.5-point spread. What is the projected total? The over 49.5 points is projected to occur in 53% of
CBS Sports | https://www.cbssports.com/betting/news/college-football-score-predictions-picks-for-week-3-2026 | published 2026-09-15T14:48:50.000Z | primary source | CBS Sports article | Primary source for the SportsLine projection, odds, schedule and supporting claims. | Event di
Previous year: Florida State defeated Alabama in Tallahassee, according to the article. 2026 Week 0: Florida State played. 2026 Week 1: Florida State lost to SMU but covered a 3.5-point spread, according to the article. 2026 Week 2: Alabama reportedly defeated Kentucky 45–17; Flo
Timeline
Florida State defeated Alabama in Tallahassee, according to the article.
Florida State played.
Florida State lost to SMU but covered a 3.5-point spread, according to the article.
Alabama reportedly defeated Kentucky 45–17; Florida State had a bye.
CBS Sports published the SportsLine projection; the line was reported to have moved from 15.5 to 19.5 points.
Alabama is scheduled to play Florida State at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
FAQ
Alabama 33, Florida State 20.
Alabama, by 19.5 points.
Florida State to cover the 19.5-point spread.
The over 49.5 points is projected to occur in 53% of simulations.
At 3.30 p.m. ET on 19 September 2026 at Bryant-Denny Stadium.
Every Week 3 FBS game, 10,000 times.
South Carolina against Mississippi State and Notre Dame against Michigan State.
LSU is a three-point road favourite.
South Carolina has beaten Mississippi State in eight of their last nine meetings, while Notre Dame has won 12 consecutive games.