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SportsLine analyst Jacob Fetner highlights MLB home run props for May 18

Fetner’s selections for Monday’s 14-game slate suggest a parlay return of over 110-1, citing road performance and pitcher matchups.

Author
Adrian Cole
Political Correspondent
Published
Draft
Source: CBS Sports · original

                        Free MLB home run picks, odds for May 18: Shohei Ohtani in expert's best bets for Monday HR player props
Data analyst points to statistical trends for Ohtani, Olson, and Trout

SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner has released three MLB home run prop bets for Monday, May 18, focusing on Shohei Ohtani, Matt Olson, and Mike Trout. The selections are based on statistical trends, including Olson’s strong performance against right-handed pitching and Trout’s road-home run disparity. The MLB slate for the day features 14 games, providing a busy schedule for bettors. Fetner, who was up 50 units on MLB home run picks last year, suggests a parlay of these selections could return over 110-1.

Fetner identifies Matt Olson as a key candidate, citing his .294 average and 1.043 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season. Ten of Olson’s 14 home runs have come off right-handers, and he has hit five home runs in his last 10 road games. Although Olson is batting just .158 over his last 10 games, Fetner notes he is due for a correction. Olson is 2-for-12 against starter Max Meyer in his career, including one home run.

Mike Trout is highlighted for his significant disparity between home and away performance. Trout has hit nine home runs in 26 road games this season, compared to only two at home. Oakland Athletics starter J.T. Ginn has allowed six home runs over his last eight road starts, a trend Fetner views as favourable for Trout despite the home-field headwind.

Shohei Ohtani is listed at +327 odds, with Fetner suggesting a buy-low opportunity. Ohtani has gone 18 straight road games without a home run, though he has hit 109 home runs over the prior two seasons. He holds a 1.681 career OPS against Michael King, with three home runs in six hits. Ohtani is batting .246 with a .805 OPS against right-handed pitchers this season.

The analysis references betting platforms such as Kalshi, DraftKings, and FanDuel, where odds and promotional codes are available. Fetner’s previous success and the specific statistical breakdowns for each player form the basis of these prop bets for the Monday slate.

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