Politics

Labour braces for existential crisis as Starmer launches late appeal amid record local election losses

With predictions of over 1,900 council seats lost, centrist MPs prepare new economic report to address voter dissatisfaction on living standards and housing

Author
Adrian Cole
Political Correspondent
Published
Draft
Source: The Guardian Politics · original
Politics
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Prime Minister warns rivals are unfit to lead during global instability as internal pressure mounts for leadership change

Prime Minister Keir Starmer has issued a late campaign appeal to voters following Labour's record-breaking losses in Thursday's local elections, urging the electorate to reject the Greens and Reform parties. Addressing the immediate political fallout, Starmer characterised rival leaders Nigel Farage and Zack Polanski as unfit to meet the demands of the current moment of great global instability. He asserted that only Labour prioritises the national interest, framing the choice for voters as one between progress and a better future against anger and division.

The party faces an existential crisis, with MPs warning that losing more than 1,500 council seats would be catastrophic for their future. However, polling experts suggest the outcome may be significantly worse, with forecasts indicating Labour could lose over 75 per cent of its seats, amounting to approximately 1,900. Reform is expected to win historically Labour-held councils in Barnsley and Sunderland, while the SNP and Plaid Cymru are predicted to gain ground in Scotland and Wales respectively.

Internal pressure is mounting for Starmer to resign, with some mayors and MPs calling for a leadership change following the election results. While potential successors remain hesitant to challenge him immediately, the Welsh First Minister, Eluned Morgan, is reportedly considering calling for his resignation if she loses her seat, following the precedent set by Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar. Regional mayors, including Andy Burnham and Sadiq Khan, are being approached but are unlikely to demand an immediate step down.

Meanwhile, centrist MPs are preparing a new economic report titled An Honest Day to address voter dissatisfaction with the government's approach to living standards and housing. The report, launched by the Labour Growth Group, calls for radical action on regulation, investment and state capacity. Sources indicate that many voters leaving Labour for the Greens and Reform desire a more structural approach than the current government offers, driven by a perception that the system is not built for them.

Starmer is said to be weighing up setting out the next step in the government's direction before the King's speech next Wednesday. The Prime Minister pledged firmly that Labour will always back families and never waver from doing what is in Britain's national interest, regardless of the pressure. Despite hopes that early holds in London could set a positive narrative, the scale of the results is expected to show how impatient voters are with the status quo.

The Guardian Politics reported on the Prime Minister's message to voters on Thursday, highlighting the clear choice presented in the ballot box. The publication noted that while some traditional Tory councils in London held firm, the broader trend points toward a significant realignment of power. The coming days will see MPs across the party hoping to shape the narrative for the months ahead, with the new economic report serving as a potential pivot point in the ongoing governance debate.

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