Finance

Cramer argues US economy remains resilient despite market slide

The CNBC host contends that strong service sector earnings and beaten-down technology stocks present opportunities, even as housing and payroll data show weakness.

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Owen Mercer
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Source: Yahoo Finance · View original source
Jim Cramer drops stunning take on the economy
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Jim Cramer has argued that the United States economy remains resilient, despite recent declines in major stock market indices and negative signals in housing and inflation. Speaking on his programme "Mad Money", Cramer suggested that Wall Street is overly pessimistic, mistaking surface-level economic issues for a broader collapse. He noted that the S&P 500 closed at 7,691.76 on 18 August, down 0.69%, marking a third consecutive drop after the index hit a record the previous day.

Cramer pointed to strong performance in service sectors as evidence of the economy's underlying health. He highlighted that Airbnb is "on fire," with its stock up 48% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 12% gain. The company reported revenue surging 17% to $3.61 billion in its second-quarter results. Cramer also cited Home Depot, which delivered its best quarter in five years with sales rising 5.7% to $47.86 billion, driven by strength from professional contractors despite a weak housing market.

The host contended that the sluggishness in the housing market is not dragging the broader economy down with it. "At the end of the day, we're a service economy," Cramer said. "If service is doing well, you can't be too negative." He estimated that two-thirds of the economy may be performing better than current market sentiment suggests, providing a stabilising foundation even before housing recovers.

Regarding energy prices, Cramer acknowledged that elevated crude costs are hurting consumers, with diesel prices reaching $5 a gallon. However, he does not expect oil prices to skyrocket much past $100, citing increased US production from New Mexico and the Bakken. Brent crude was trading around $91.47 on 19 August, up 50.3% in 2026. Cramer believes that if oil prices stabilise, it could remove a significant source of pressure on bond yields and the broader market.

Cramer rejected the notion that higher bond yields constitute a financial crisis, viewing them instead as a painful but stabilising factor. He argued that the market has been punishing semiconductor and data-centre stocks, creating investment opportunities. He pointed to record short betting against the Nasdaq as a sign that investors may have become too negative. "When a trade gets that crowded, is it usually wrong?" he asked.

The host suggested that beaten-down technology stocks, such as Micron, present potential opportunities as the market corrects. Micron is trading at around 14 times forward non-GAAP earnings, which is 81% lower than its five-year average. Cramer remains a buyer of the group, arguing that even lukewarm optimism can create opportunity at current prices. Bank of America has similarly identified 16 beaten-down AI-related stocks with attractive fundamentals, including Micron, Lam Research, and Seagate.

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